Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 26 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 8% on 28 Aug 2024. $82.55K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 9:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 11 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 31.5% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| InventorX | Yes | 282.71 |
| Extroverted-Whistle | Yes | 29.14 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | Yes | 2.86 |
| adam2345m | Yes | 0.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a live audience at the first in-person debate between Trump and Harris. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve once the debate has started and it has been determined whether or not a live audience is present. If no in-person debate occurs by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/live-audience-at-trumpharris-debate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Sp365 | No | 0.07 |
| Marcellusrt | Yes | 0.06 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 0.03 |
| MockLabs | Yes | 0.03 |
| Broken68 | Yes | 0.03 |
| ExecutedMonkey | Yes | 0.03 |
