What is the “Lighter Airdrop before January 1?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Lighter Airdrop before January 1? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be? (2026)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 30 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next date, in ET, on which Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

29 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 31, 4:31 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be-489) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Lighter Airdrop before January 1?

Market referencelighter-airdrop-before-january-1Updated Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$94.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

101.12 / 73.42K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

Loaded notional

$34.76K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

0.0 pts

Range

87.5% - 87.5%

Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC to Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	67.63K	0.0%	$0
predictionGOAT69	No	1.43K	14.0%

What day will the Lighter airdrop be? (2026)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Lighter Airdrop before January 1?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Lighter Airdrop before January 1? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be? (2026)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 30 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the next date, in ET, on which Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Indigo Signal 2966

67.63K

0.0%

predictionGOAT69

1.43K

14.0%

Trader	Current holding value
potyh	$101.12
Indigo Signal 2966	$0
predictionGOAT69	$0
738925	$0
8Eotx5qJmuUVd	$0
kasnguyen13	$0
Bright Horizon 81D6	$0
AllByMyseIf	$0
Emerald Pioneer D14A	$0
weFFF	$0
Glaring-Brushing	$0
Bold Scout BD7E	$0