Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Dec 2025.
$105.79K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 31, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 30 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 2.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.63K |
| teslaxai | Yes | 2.26K |
| d1zup | Yes | 1K |
| Kozachenko | Yes | 943.43 |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| rated | Yes | 430.94 |
| k1tten | Yes | 413.39 |
| hiruuh | Yes | 394.23 |
| 666cai | Yes | 349.85 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 331 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next date, in ET, on which Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be-489
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