Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 94.7% on 23 Mar 2026. $25.77K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| maxlandpuv | No | 156.25 |
| 5atka | No | 150.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Emmanuel Grégoire - Marseille: Benoît Payan - Lyon: Grégory Doucet If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/left-wing-wave-in-french-mayoral-elections
| grut675 | No | 122.24 |
| turms | No | 80 |
| boutmy0707 | No | 68.04 |
| Ragnardu75 | No | 65.93 |
| Syrio Forel | No | 40.6 |
| Lavincey | No | 38.7 |
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