Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 28% on 6 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 5% on 2 Nov 2025. $97.68K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 28.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| torrest | Yes | 4.51K |
| hindu | Yes | 2.81K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.05K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee Jun-seok serves any time in custody in any prison between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lee-jun-seok-in-jail-in-2025
| Yes |
| 1K |
| demipixelgods | Yes | 684.93 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 241 |
| kamarat | Yes | 209.59 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 184 |
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