
Trading ended on 10 Oct 2026 with Yes at 31.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 35.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 24.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 28%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 24.5% on 13 Oct 2026.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club”. Athletic Club leads at 45.5%; Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) is at 34.5%.
$205.81K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Kyn008 with 56.6K shares; the largest No position is Kch-Temp with 97.6K. Ten wallets hold 78.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 32.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10
| Flaznorp |
| No |
| 12.83K |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 10K |
| MinevaJ | Yes | 6.5K |
| Lunar Atlas 894C | Yes | 4.27K |
| leegunner | No | 4.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.02K |
| marchettamaker | Yes | 3.9K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page