
Trading ended on 10 Oct 2026 with Yes at 45%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 52.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the low 36.5% on 8 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 52.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 42.5% on 15 Oct 2026.
Athletic Club is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club”, ahead of Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) at 31.5%.
$763.78K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is totoro3miyazaki with 408.1K shares; the largest No position is Wan-Flash with 91.2K. Ten wallets hold 79.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 40.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| totoro3miyazaki | Yes | 408.12K |
| Wan-Flash | No | 91.24K |
| Kyn008 | No | 80.79K |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 |
| Yes |
| 47.47K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | No | 30.93K |
| printmon | No | 28.81K |
| mooseborzoii | No | 27.66K |
| UpTheBlues | No | 25.47K |
| AnonymousUsername | No | 20.63K |
| forecastication4 | No | 15K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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