Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 4% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 4% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Dec 2025. $88.13K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 4.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Damp-Batter | Yes | 1.84K |
| S888 | Yes | 582.12 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 294 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 232 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-impeached-before-2026
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148 |
| wylzub | Yes | 140.07 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 134 |
| Informal-Pain | Yes | 125 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 93 |
| Flawed-Warren | Yes | 90.23 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
