Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 27% on 24 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 24 May 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 34% on 3 Jun 2024 and the lowest 6.5% on 4 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 17.1% on 5 Jul 2024. $10.97K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 6:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 24 May 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2024 | 27.0% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 17.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.48K |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 0.07 |
| CVDFGXC | Yes | 0.04 |
| FGHDRTYRT | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 45% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-election-labour-vote-share
| HJGFHFGHJKF | Yes | 0.03 |
| UIOUOIU | Yes | 0.03 |
| kjhgkhfjkhfj | Yes | 0.03 |
| SGFDGFD | Yes | 0.03 |
| GSDSDFAW | Yes | 0.03 |
| JKFGHJFG | Yes | 0.03 |
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