Analytics
Yes is at 88.8%, down 7.1 points from 95.9% when the market opened on 23 Jul 2026.
Across the 96 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.9% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 73.9% on 7 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 85.5%; a month before, 85.7%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 75.8% on 6 Aug 2026.
$58.41K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.55K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 222 trades, $3.32K bought Yes and $2.61K bought No; the largest was a $6.83K sell of Yes at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is JoeMaserati with 877 shares; the largest No position is PaddyAlpha with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 89.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Jul 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 23 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 95.9% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 88.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PaddyAlpha | No | 1.4K |
| JoeMaserati | Yes | 876.99 |
| bobbet | Yes | 279.07 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 177 gold medals have been officially awarded at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games (LA28) by July 25, 2028, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “officially awarded” is defined as the gold-deciding final for the relevant event concluding and the gold medalist(s) being determined under official results. A qualifying awarding will still count towards the total regardless of whether the results are later reviewed or modified. Medal ceremonies aren’t required for an awarding to qualify. Each event will count once towards the total; a team gold or a shared gold will still count as one event. Both the specified threshold and deadline will remain fixed regardless of whether events are added to or cut from the program, or if LA28 is postponed, suspended, shortened, relocated, or rescheduled in any way. Heats, prelims, semifinals, and any phase that doesn’t decide gold will not count. Events postponed past the deadline or cancelled without deciding a gold medalist will not count. If LA28 officially awards at least one gold medal but is cancelled or curtailed, this market will resolve on the number of officially awarded gold medals up until that point. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there exists any ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the organizers of LA28, including the Los Angeles Organizing Committee (https://la28.org/) and the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la28-olympics-run-as-scheduled-20260721200040093
| Dr.PNL |
| No |
| 181.96 |
| DREAMBIG. | Yes | 125 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 100 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 100 |
| Praescientia | Yes | 58.8 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 55 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | 54.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
