Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 56 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 0.9% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 33 markets under “Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards”.
$400.19 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $201.04, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Deafening-Possible with 98 shares; the largest No position is ndb1 with 217.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ndb1 | No | 216.79 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 98.4 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-first-qb-to-2000-passing-yards-2026-27
20 more markets, none above 1.3%.
| flagsincircle |
| Yes |
| 23.39 |
| Voronn | Yes | 20 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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