Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 56 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.1% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 7 Oct 2026. The current quote, 0.1%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 49.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 58.1% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 33 markets under “Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards”.
$2.1K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.51K since listing. The order book holds $556.84, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 49 trades, $316.43 bought Yes and $1.99K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K buy of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is sportsports with 550 shares; the largest No position is CosmicCedar with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 93.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | No | 1.43K |
| sportsports | Yes | 549.95 |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-first-qb-to-2000-passing-yards-2026-27
20 more markets, none above 1.5%.
| ndb1 |
| No |
| 319.89 |
| PV15kjashd912ni1928yd91h2d | Yes | 300 |
| flagsincircle | Yes | 178.5 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 144.92 |
| manochartino | Yes | 120 |
| Maximus374 | No | 61.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
