Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
$71.31K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 8.02K |
| medvedkovo | Yes | 1.08K |
| Kerguelen. | Yes | 1K |
| Kofam | Yes | 674.53 |
| Preballin | Yes | 656.54 |
| 121521w | Yes | 500.13 |
| SatoshiAlien12 | Yes | 385 |
| Barrito | Yes | 350 |
| iaindunn24 | Yes | 302.27 |
| chrzanki | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ali Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-public-appearance-by-985
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
