Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$6.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, the highest close was 98.3% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 67.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 92% on 19 Oct 2026. $6.15K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 5:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
latysh	No	859
meagainsttheworld	No	320.95
Indigo Signal 2966	No	307.3
tradetosurvive1	No	300.55

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.