Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.9K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 31% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 14 Aug 2026. $1.86K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 3:26 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Aug 2026	26.5%
14 Aug 2026	5.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	524.84
meagainsttheworld	Yes	166.67
TheMasterMind	Yes	115.04
LS-ship	Yes	50.09

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.