Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 28 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 16.5% on 29 May 2026. $1.85K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 7:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 13.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| idunnowhyyy | Yes | 190 |
| do-a-shoey | Yes | 133.9 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/katy-perry-and-justin-trudeau-breakup-before-august
| Yes |
| 62.5 |
| Nice-Heritage-Republic | Yes | 21.27 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Stamatina | Yes | 12.5 |
| misterwilly | Yes | 11.67 |
| niglette | Yes | 10.03 |
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