Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Sep 2026. $8.17K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 10.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Creepy-Odyssey | Yes | 439.84 |
| Harmless-Gesture | Yes | 268.21 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kash-patel-out-by
New to prediction markets?
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 60.33 |
| PPMT | Yes | 32 |
| acc32 | Yes | 31.25 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 30 |
| ppppx | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
