Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 3% on 23 Dec 2025. $4.65K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 1.1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 328 |
| Merman | Yes | 234.42 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 181 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kash Patel is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kash Patel has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kash Patel or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kash-patel-engaged-in-2025
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 144 |
| wylzub | Yes | 135.46 |
| gushishu | Yes | 125.61 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 120 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 103 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 68 |
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