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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 146.37 | $0.068 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.710 |
| $49.7 |
| Dec 17, 2025 |
 Kash Patel engaged in 2025?Yes | buy | 234.42 | $0.215 | $50.4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.840 | $50.4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.56K | $0.014 | $49.15 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.200 | $64 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | buy | 512.82 | $0.039 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | buy | 512.82 | $0.039 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?Yes | buy | 555 | $0.006 | $3.33 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $5.94 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 488.27 | $0.020 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 429.87 | $0.880 | $378.29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.138 | $25.98 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 288.68 | $0.190 | $54.85 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 75 | $0.731 | $54.85 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 680.41 | $0.220 | $149.69 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.220 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 225.7 | $0.670 | $151.22 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?No | sell | 158.63 | $0.953 | $151.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?No | buy | 158.63 | $0.648 | $102.8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 576.92 | $0.260 | $150 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 459.88 | $0.800 | $367.9 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 374.17 | $0.983 | $367.89 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 374.17 | $0.274 | $102.6 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 135 | $0.760 | $102.6 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 648.12 | $0.770 | $499.31 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?No | buy | 10.46K | $0.048 | $500 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 5.31K | $0.015 | $80.72 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 6.8K | $0.015 | $100 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?No | sell | 316.11 | $0.572 | $180.72 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 2.75K | $0.018 | $49.51 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.018 | $50 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 2.75K | $0.018 | $49.52 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.023 | $50 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 668.52 | $0.150 | $100 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?No | buy | 316.11 | $0.630 | $199.15 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 315.57 | $0.156 | $49.25 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 348.27 | $0.144 | $50 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 231.87 | $0.150 | $34.78 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 4.67K | $0.006 | $30 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 5.83K | $0.006 | $35 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 4.89K | $0.005 | $24.95 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |