Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 25%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 11 Dec 2024, the highest close was 75% on 11 Dec 2024 and the lowest 50.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 75% on 11 Dec 2024. $36.27K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 2:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 11 Dec 2024, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 50.5% |
| 11 Dec 2024 | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces that he will nominate Kari Lake for US ambassador to Mexico by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kari-lake-appointed-ambassador-to-mexico
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| 6club | No | 0.06 |
| Poly24 | Yes | 0.02 |
