Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?

Name: Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No · settled Aug 23, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$15.9M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 23, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
BigMikeBeliever	Yes	1.44M	0.9%	$13.1K
Jicar8331	Yes	618.51K	1.2%	$7.3K
Sniper108	Yes	313.43K	0.7%	$2.28K	Aug 21, 5:12 PM UTC
2024michelle	Yes	299.41K	1.1%	$3.43K
Kermit	Yes	168.53K	0.9%	$1.47K
Emerald Quasar B691	Yes	147.05K	1.2%	$1.71K
gg1231	Yes	129K	1.2%	$1.55K
.doodoo	Yes	113.98K	1.3%	$1.5K
Kazz	Yes	108.53K	0.3%	$299.87	Aug 22, 7:19 AM UTC
bigD	Yes	88.12K	1.0%	$899.79
Fluffy-Bolt	Yes	83.78K	1.3%	$1.11K
Soymoy	Yes	82.51K	0.7%	$578.69	Aug 22, 9:59 PM UTC
hillarybeliever	Yes	75.61K	1.1%	$814.79
tstraya	Yes	67.47K	1.2%	$799.98
MoonKontrol	Yes	54.55K	0.6%	$327.51
Thorough-Flume	Yes	54.2K	0.7%	$399.97
hoggy	Yes	46.76K	0.6%	$297.12
Account1-jskf	Yes	45.66K	1.1%	$499.83
Nanno	Yes	43.64K	1.1%	$499.54
shewilldropout	Yes	41.67K	0.7%	$278.89
Faint-Witch	Yes	36.25K	0.8%	$290
sirmapy	Yes	33.43K	1.2%	$399.63
3t17	Yes	33.2K	1.8%	$597.6
QQQ777	Yes	32.22K	1.1%	$372.17
SamVagabond1999	Yes	25.72K	1.2%	$300.68
u25	Yes	25.7K	0.2%	$51.39	Aug 22, 6:38 AM UTC
LordScuti	Yes	25K	0.1%	$25	Aug 23, 5:14 AM UTC
AA1	Yes	22.22K	0.9%	$200
Jagged-Procedure	Yes	21.3K	1.1%	$243.59
TraffyETH	Yes	20.3K	1.0%	$202.95
MikeS	Yes	20K	0.5%	$100
FRH01591	Yes	20K	1.0%	$200
Tacobell1	Yes	18.2K	1.3%	$230.75
DRJ7	Yes	16.45K	1.1%	$184.94
shayatriix	Yes	15.5K	1.1%	$168.68
TheHermitMonk	Yes	15.39K	1.3%	$200.04
Faraway-Kindness	Yes	14.48K	0.8%	$117.11
MYALLSTARLIFE	Yes	14.23K	1.4%	$199.15
hellome	Yes	14.12K	1.0%	$141.15
GhostTradeKilla	Yes	13.35K	1.1%	$147.14
Airdr0p3r	Yes	11.5K	1.0%	$114.96
Humongous-Discourse	Yes	11.46K	0.9%	$103.1
Equal-Noir	Yes	11.11K	0.9%	$100
Separate-Scallion	Yes	11.11K	0.9%	$100
Several-Savings	Yes	10K	1.0%	$100
publicbet	Yes	9.38K	0.8%	$75
DaddyDJ	Yes	9.18K	1.1%	$100
Andreas88	Yes	8.81K	1.1%	$100.87
Normal-Spreadsheet	Yes	8.33K	1.2%	$100
Hello33	Yes	7.19K	1.1%	$79.05
jrb5187	Yes	6.17K	1.0%	$64.35
zubinbets	Yes	5.67K	0.9%	$51
malty	Yes	5.02K	1.0%	$50
Deep-Marxism	Yes	5K	0.7%	$36.99
Bobo1	Yes	4.76K	1.2%	$56.45
Ill-Informed-Estrogen	Yes	4.01K	1.1%	$45
wavegxd	Yes	3.64K	1.1%	$40
ldzx	Yes	3.64K	1.1%	$40
sirtel	Yes	3.57K	1.4%	$50
bigmiketime	Yes	3.08K	1.3%	$40
WildWolf	Yes	2.52K	1.2%	$30
Jaro	Yes	2.51K	1.2%	$29.13
TriaKube	Yes	2K	0.9%	$18
tarylerz	Yes	2K	0.3%	$6	Aug 21, 7:55 PM UTC
laughingmoose	Yes	1.92K	1.3%	$25
Observooor	Yes	1.81K	1.1%	$20
Dosmcnsjc	Yes	1.73K	1.2%	$20.79
Serene-Marmalade	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
Violet Beacon 6938	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$9.59
maybe-this-will-work	Yes	1.65K	0.8%	$13.55
the2urn	Yes	1.54K	1.3%	$20
FKNsayer	Yes	1.5K	1.0%	$15
MeetArno	Yes	1.5K	1.0%	$15
hihihi3	Yes	1.43K	0.7%	$10
Fab768a91f08a1AF60abCaaC0143a24168697DB4	Yes	1.33K	0.6%	$8
1111122222	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$10
JoyG	Yes	1.25K	1.2%	$15
lowmil	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$10
DividedSkies	Yes	1.05K	1.5%	$15.6
Ill-Logo	Yes	1K	0.6%	$6
Exploitedbadger	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3	Aug 21, 10:42 AM UTC
Hateful-Local	Yes	1K	1.0%	$10
AHMED	Yes	990.83	1.2%	$11.89
degenitals1	Yes	909.09	1.1%	$10
Scared-Brief	Yes	909.09	1.1%	$10
TXTC	Yes	890	1.0%	$8.9
Nonstop-Councilman	Yes	839.68	1.1%	$8.92
Cluttered-Reporting	Yes	769.23	1.3%	$10
buffalo92	Yes	714.29	0.7%	$5
hsa3048	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2	Aug 21, 2:08 PM UTC
Portly-Anywhere	Yes	636.36	1.1%	$7
flo123	Yes	520	1.0%	$5
pkcrypto	Yes	500	1.0%	$5
Fitting-Yoke	Yes	483.33	0.6%	$2.9
Zenchad	Yes	300	1.0%	$3
Jpizz13	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Probable-Carrot	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Specific-Airline	Yes	100	1.3%	$1.3
ProfesserX	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
qrad	Yes	100	0.8%	$0.8
BetGenius	Yes	40	0.2%	$0.08	Aug 21, 8:00 PM UTC
arvinebellamy	Yes	33.33	0.6%	$0.2
Kaleidoscopic-Player	No	5.03	99.4%	$5
IllusiveFrog	Yes	1.25	0.8%	$0.01
zzVip18	Yes	1.11	0.9%	$0.01
Physical-Standoff	No	1.01	98.7%	$1
Vivamax	Yes	1	1.0%	$0.01
Cryptoness	Yes	0.91	1.1%	$0.01
MemeLord	Yes	0.91	1.1%	$0.01
ManicMoney	Yes	0.83	1.2%	$0.01
NodeMazter	Yes	0.83	1.2%	$0.01
PalagiXD	Yes	0.77	1.3%	$0.01
MaxBold	Yes	0.77	1.3%	$0.01
BabySharkz	Yes	0.77	1.3%	$0.01
MaskedEye	Yes	0.77	1.3%	$0.01
Lucky69	Yes	0.71	1.4%	$0.01
KennyRoverGador	Yes	0.71	1.4%	$0.01
MaxxieBoogs	Yes	0.67	1.5%	$0.01
MaxLoading	Yes	0.67	1.5%	$0.01
SignedMarkes	Yes	0.67	1.5%	$0.01
Vario125	Yes	0.63	1.6%	$0.01
UtangPaMore	Yes	0.63	1.6%	$0.01
MudLad24	Yes	0.48	2.1%	$0.01
DevidedSoul	Yes	0.45	2.2%	$0.01
CapTune	Yes	0.42	2.4%	$0.01
brianchu8482	Yes	0.23	1.3%	$0	Aug 21, 10:13 AM UTC

126 of 126 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Kaleidoscopic-Player	$5.03
Physical-Standoff	$1.01
Aubreyeeer	$0.05

Analytics