What is the “Kamala Harris fires campaign manager?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Kamala Harris fires campaign manager? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 4, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Julie Chávez Rodriguez is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Harris campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an announcement on the firing of Rodriguez is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if they are relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($52.78K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$25.27K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 5, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 10 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 6, 5:41 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/kamala-harris-fires-campaign-manager) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
