Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 19 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 15.5% on 19 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 2.3% on 20 Oct 2024. $52.78K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 19 Oct 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2024 | 15.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| web3funny | Yes | 2.36K |
| HaklayDeFi | Yes | 518.62 |
| Interpretations | Yes | 139.88 |
| ricke | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Julie Chávez Rodriguez is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Harris campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an announcement on the firing of Rodriguez is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if they are relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market is information from the Harris Campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kamala-harris-fires-campaign-manager
| shal-935 | Yes | 53.85 |
| mike8808 | Yes | 46.15 |
| polygamey | Yes | 14.62 |
| Spydin | Yes | 10 |
| powell-640 | Yes | 5 |
| zkevmachine | Yes | 2.78 |
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