Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. $299.35K traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 1:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1713888952017 | Yes | 5.09K |
| vshaped | Yes | 4K |
| qiaolu | Yes | 1.98K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 1.43K |
| Essential-Inscription | Yes | 1.43K |
| Jonnystacks16 | Yes | 1.03K |
| Fartard | Yes | 1K |
| funding | Yes | 1K |
| L33tH4x0r | Yes | 999.99 |
| zagoon | Yes | 714.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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