Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.8% on 12 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 3.8% on 12 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 4 Nov 2024. $533.64K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 12 Sep 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2024 | 3.8% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KrixV | Yes | 44K |
| Regal-Amenity | Yes | 10K |
| 7113 | Yes | 6.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on November 4, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-replaced-as-republican-vp-nominee
| Yes |
| 1.7K |
| StreetO | Yes | 743.08 |
| LethalFred | Yes | 514.21 |
| ryo4s | Yes | 186.07 |
| Secret14thKey | Yes | 173.33 |
| juancb | Yes | 133.1 |
| Fealo | Yes | 125 |
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