Yes is at 97.3%, up 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 97.3% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 38% on 20 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 97.3%; a month ago, 74%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 40% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Pro Football: Jaylen Warren 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards”.
$4.59K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $140.1, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $1.76K bought Yes and $98.26 bought No; the largest was a $1.23K buy of Yes at 75.7¢.
The largest Yes position is End123 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is JustADonk with 888. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 109 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 12:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 60 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 97.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| End123 | Yes | 1.22K |
| JustADonk | No | 888 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 56.2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Jaylen Warren records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 399.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jaylen Warren does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Jaylen Warren recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jaylen-warren-rushing-yards-2026-27
| Dr.PNL |
| No |
| 45.8 |
| AJSV | No | 45.03 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 42 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 40 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 33.51 |
| ndb1 | Yes | 26 |
| title1 | Yes | 24.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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