Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 86% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 40% on 18 Jun 2026. $4.27K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| niglette | Yes | 309.54 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Warmsocks | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jay-clayton-confirmed-as-director-of-national-intelligence-byptptpt-20260611210903868
| kakaxi1314113 | Yes | 20 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 17.5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 7 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
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