Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 29 points from 32% when the market opened on 24 Apr 2026.
The high was 89.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the low 3.3% on 13 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.3%; a month ago, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 79 points up, to 89.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
$4.97K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.33K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 111 trades, $121.56 bought Yes and $1.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is bugseeker with 300 shares; the largest No position is WeJustBettin with 549. Ten wallets hold 94.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 179 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 32.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WeJustBettin | No | 549.45 |
| bugseeker | Yes | 300 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 139.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japanese-parliament-dissolved-in-2026
| Milky-Gallon-Prow |
| No |
| 108.7 |
| AJSV | Yes | 95.02 |
| plsnolose | Yes | 72.5 |
| vbm | No | 49.92 |
| bdkong | Yes | 40 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 19.05 |
| Indigo Signal 01B5 | Yes | 14.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
