Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 26% on 5 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42.4% on 19 Jun 2025 and the low 0.2% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 4.9% on 20 Jun 2025. $10.75K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 5 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2025 | 26.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 67.69 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 61.73 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.02 |
| trump.imp | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan, as of June 4, 2025, is dissolved between June 4 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japan-parliament-dissolved-before-july
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