
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 14% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 18% on 11 Jan 2026. $3.87K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 606.29 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Kreww | Yes | 100 |
| 62W | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 17, 2026 If US Catanzaro 1929 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.legaserieb.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itsb-ven-cat-2026-01-17
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