Analytics
Resolved Flynn Thomas on 26 Sep 2026.
$6.41K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arthur Nagel price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Sep 2026, chart shows 70%–82%
| Observed | Arthur Nagel price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Lynx 300D | Arthur Nagel | 1K |
| ALPHYN | Arthur Nagel | 219.89 |
| tatkamatv78 | Arthur Nagel | 64.94 |
| Disguised-Pickax-Fetus | Arthur Nagel | 30.86 |
| berlinskies | Arthur Nagel | 30.85 |
| returdmaxxer | Arthur Nagel | 20 |
| kitopesivan | Arthur Nagel | 12.99 |
| Frayed-Tugboat-Contact | Arthur Nagel | 6.41 |
| sportsw1zard | Arthur Nagel | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Nagel and Flynn Thomas in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Flynn Thomas. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Thomas' if Flynn Thomas advances against Arthur Nagel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-nagel1-thomas1-2026-09-26
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