Analytics
Resolved Adrian Arcon on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Adrian Arcon at 71%. The Adrian Arcon side opened at 5.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 13 Aug 2026, the highest close was 71% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 66 points up, to 71% on 13 Aug 2026. $6.3K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Adrian Arcon price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Adrian Arcon price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 5.5% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 71.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hopper6 | Shintaro Imai | 163 |
| gteenreal | Shintaro Imai | 100 |
| POMETBOKA | Shintaro Imai | 89.45 |
| PMTTEU | Shintaro Imai | 89.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Shintaro Imai in the ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Shintaro Imai. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-arcon-imai-2026-08-12
| PometLCP | Shintaro Imai | 89.45 |
| mauricebishop | Shintaro Imai | 80 |
| Strict-Gather | Shintaro Imai | 76.29 |
| 708d6f0d7890c49d4345d073285f4e18ea8ecc7c | Shintaro Imai | 59.99 |
| xxet | Shintaro Imai | 58.9 |
| nicoletkhdcserous | Shintaro Imai | 54 |
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