Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 5% on 6 Oct 2025. $50.12K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 3:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 20 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MyLige | Yes | 1.11K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 431 |
| MetaProphet | Yes | 416.79 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 384.62 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 302 |
| Bubbly-Choker | Yes | 275.64 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 202.99 |
| FUTUREISME | Yes | 136 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 124 |
| lissartter | Yes | 115.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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