Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 165 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 22 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $53.59K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 15.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MGar | Yes | 1K |
| Kadaska | Yes | 666.67 |
| erasemuseum | Yes | 414.49 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has has withdrawn all ground forces from Syrian territory captured after the fall of the Assad regime by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Syrian territory, regardless of whether some Syrian territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-syria-in-2025
| Yes |
| 279.97 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 253.97 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Ksaich-Pack1 | Yes | 200 |
| JohnGarcia2866 | Yes | 179 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 172.95 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 164.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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