Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 11.5% on 28 Feb 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.1 points down, to 1.4% on 3 May 2025. $39.56K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BenGvir | Yes | 1.49K |
| Username24912001 | Yes | 723.02 |
| adamsangala | Yes | 625.34 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has has withdrawn all ground forces from Syrian territory captured after the fall of the Assad regime by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Syrian territory, regardless of whether some Syrian territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-syria-before-july
| Yes |
| 495.88 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 54.89 |
| lolius | Yes | 54.75 |
| keejaybarkie | Yes | 25 |
| djbalch | Yes | 10 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5 |
| rqp | No | 1.06 |
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