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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.145 |
| $7.25 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 1.42K | $0.028 | $40 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Mossad" this week?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 27.21 | $0.147 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.237 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.990 | $5.14 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.850 | $6.25 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.2 | $0.510 | $16.93 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 21.42 | $0.850 | $18.21 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.050 | $21 | May 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.041 | $10 | May 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 21.96 | $0.046 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "FDA" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "RFK" or "Kennedy" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Governor" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Obama" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Pakistan" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ozempic" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |