Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 14 Jun 2025, the highest close was 80% on 14 Jun 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 13 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 80% on 14 Jun 2025. $537.77K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 14 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2025 | 55.5% |
| 14 Jun 2025 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Al6ino | No | 1K |
| Razcohen26 | No | 612.86 |
| TolhsArampatzhs | No | 428.57 |
| Kaijipt | No | 61.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between June 11 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetec actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-june
| youyouta | No | 46 |
| Dike | No | 14.71 |
| Spooder | No | 11.11 |
| SELL-YES-BUY-NO | No | 5.08 |
| nisha8 | No | 2.74 |
| vytreb | No | 2.41 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
