Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 270 |
| $0.998 |
| $269.46 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionYes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 273.97 | $0.999 | $273.7 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?No | sell | 274.88 | $0.998 | $274.33 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 276.08 | $0.999 | $275.8 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel in June?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Steak 'n Shake accepts Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.969 | $2.3 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.992 | $1.01 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.997 | $1.47 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.988 | $1.46 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Newcastle lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.974 | $1.01 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.966 | $0.99 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.930 | $1.95 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 $PENGU market cap (FDV) $6-8b one day after launch?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Newcastle United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.004 | $2.4 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.004 | $2.4 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Dec 18, 2024 |