Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 74% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2025 to 30 Jun 2025, the highest close was 85% on 22 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points down, to 13% on 24 Jun 2025. $163.27K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 30 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 74.0% |
| 30 Jun 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.05K |
| Quick-Witted-Doubt | Yes | 1.05K |
| Alnbbb | Yes | 750 |
| x3429 | Yes | 564.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Thin-Membrane | Yes | 330.94 |
| Samarvel | Yes | 200 |
| Memorable-Gerbil | Yes | 137.93 |
| shoshking | Yes | 126.58 |
| dharmanero | Yes | 100 |
| 0x01BTC01 | Yes | 100 |
