Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.23 | $0.220 | $4.45 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 45.45 |
| $0.110 |
| $5 |
| Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.035 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 200k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 52.36 | $0.095 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?Yes | buy | 111.58 | $0.045 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?100k | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.240 | $24.72 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 180.92 | $0.111 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before August?No | buy | 97.89 | $0.051 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.041 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 5–7 executive orders in July?Yes | buy | 14.21 | $0.352 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.450 | $1.28 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.023 | $1.28 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.430 | $2.06 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.104 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.303 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.45 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 93.18 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 171.96 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 216.37 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 245.48 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 267.5 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 22.97 | $0.218 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |