Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.4% on 21 Jun 2025 and the low 92.5% on 20 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points up, to 98.4% on 21 Jun 2025. $216.84K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 21 Jun 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 92.5% |
| 21 Jun 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| digital | No | 7.14K |
| Onlyasser | No | 6.75K |
| cybertexan | No | 4.15K |
| Dudu123 | No | 2.76K |
| kerubiak | No | 2.11K |
| Piecost | No | 1.37K |
| Vvvtc | No | 1.11K |
| And3350 | No | 760 |
| nec | No | 588.24 |
| Hongyaepi | No | 379.12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
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