Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 5 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2025 to 9 Jun 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 9 Jun 2025 and the lowest 79.5% on 6 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 95.5% on 7 Jun 2025. $205.8K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 9:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 5 Jun 2025 – 9 Jun 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2025 | 89.5% |
| 9 Jun 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PRESIDENTEJavierMilei | No | 3.14K |
| mk777 | No | 1.44K |
| Bloger3 | No | 1K |
| Knotty-Guinea | No | 461.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, is physically intercepted, redirected, detained, or boarded by any Israeli military or governmental authority before it reaches the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes enforcement of a naval blockade, boarding by armed forces, the use of force, electronic warfare, or threats to prevent the ship from completing its mission. Voluntary rerouting or delays due to weather, mechanical issues, or internal decisions not caused by external pressure will not qualify. The vessel will be considered to have reached the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip if the vessel comes within 100 meters of the Gaza shoreline. Entry into Gaza’s maritime zone will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source: https://thousandmadleens.fr/tracker/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-intercepts-greta-thunbergs-ship-before-reaching-gaza
| tooheavytolift | No | 409.09 |
| ThugMelon | No | 325.84 |
| jacoozzi | No | 209.81 |
| flo8ro | No | 160 |
| udeo | No | 99.98 |
| Damian5542 | No | 95.24 |
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