Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67%. Yes opened at 21% on 16 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2025 to 24 Jun 2025, the highest close was 67% on 24 Jun 2025 and the lowest 13% on 22 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 67% on 24 Jun 2025. $184.12K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Jun 2025 – 24 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2025 | 21.0% |
| 24 Jun 2025 | 67.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kjkgdr3jhg | No | 3.21K |
| Chozen1 | No | 236.46 |
| malytrez | No | 220.83 |
| Plymrkt | No | 136.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 12, 2025, Israel conducted a series of airstrikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military infrastructure. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on or around June 12, 2025, have concluded by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements resolution must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-before-july
New to prediction markets?
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| asdfblob | No | 60 |
| brodskysam | No | 54.79 |
