Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Sep 2026. $911.38 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 15.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jackli003 | Yes | 200 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/insurrection-act-invoked-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Jade Meteor C558 | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
