Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 80% on 11 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, the highest close was 96% on 2 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 5 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 95 points down, to 0.8% on 5 Jun 2024. $205.62K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 11 Apr 2024 – 5 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2024 | 80.0% |
| 5 Jun 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pycrash-558 | Yes | 1.13K |
| supercore | Yes | 802.45 |
| bobthesweeper | Yes | 362.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) controls 272 or more seats in the Lok Sabha after the results of the 2024 Indian General Election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the BJP, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/india-election-will-bjp-win-a-majority-of-seats
| Yes |
| 106.03 |
| zoku-104 | Yes | 28.54 |
| reddcrown | Yes | 2.9 |
| xiona | Yes | 2.38 |
| evena-869 | Yes | 2.38 |
| kateing | Yes | 2.33 |
| olpaee | Yes | 2.33 |
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