Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, the highest close was 57% on 26 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 57% on 26 Apr 2024. $39.2K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 11:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 18 Apr 2024 – 5 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2024 | 50.0% |
| 5 Jun 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is the BJP's electoral coalition. Figures within the BJP, including Narendra Modi, claimed that the BJP-led NDA will win 400 seats or more in the Lok Sabha from the 2024 Indian general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls 400 or more seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/india-election-nda-wins-400-seats
| No |
| 0.03 |
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