Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 17 Nov 2023. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 17 Nov 2023 and the low 2.5% on 1 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 28% on 24 Nov 2023. $71.41K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 17 Nov 2023 – 1 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2023 | 56.5% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JiraBest | No | 22.81 |
| The Dutch Trader | Yes | 19.61 |
| Spacecabbage | Yes | 15.16 |
| Uncle_Tedzki | Yes | 15 |
| OmahasOracle | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iceland-volcanic-eruption-by-nov-30
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