What is the “Hunter Biden arrested before April?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Hunter Biden arrested before April? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 1 Apr 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if son of US president Joseph Biden, Hunter Biden, is arrested by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Hunter Biden and information from Hunter Biden's legal representatives will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

5 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 7, 11:09 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-arrested-before-april) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Hunter Biden arrested before April?

Market referencehunter-biden-arrested-before-aprilUpdated May 7, 2024 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Apr 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$224.2K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 7, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 7, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

356.02 / 22.55

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

294

Wallets

115

Loaded notional

$121.39K

No sell at 99.7%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

110

Move

+23 pts

Range

0.1% - 45.0%

Dec 14, 12:00 AM UTC to Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
dener	sell	No	99.7%	111.22	Mar 30, 4:37 AM UTC
50Whence	sell	Yes

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Hunter Biden arrested before April?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Hunter Biden arrested before April? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 1 Apr 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if son of US president Joseph Biden, Hunter Biden, is arrested by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Hunter Biden and information from Hunter Biden's legal representatives will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

dener

sell

99.7%

111.22

Mar 30, 4:37 AM UTC

50Whence

sell

Yes