Analytics
Yes is at 6.9%, down 11 points from 17.8% when the market opened on 14 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%; a month before, 8.6%. Its largest one-day move was 7.3 points down, to 10.9% on 18 Aug 2026.
$207.18 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.98K since listing. The order book holds $11.02K, with a 4.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 145 trades, $232.54 bought Yes and $3.32K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Meteor EBB0 with 444 shares; the largest No position is 0xrc with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 76% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 64 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 17.8% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xrc | No | 1.91K |
| Rapid Meteor EBB0 | Yes | 443.98 |
| 3awerpoghaoe | Yes | 400 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hu-jintao-public-appearance-by-december-31
| waihin |
| Yes |
| 300 |
| nndjdjjf | Yes | 234.6 |
| Ecstatic-Veto | No | 206.68 |
| xiaopuman | Yes | 200 |
| abze | No | 199.99 |
| marcopolosrhino | Yes | 167.15 |
| Perypery | Yes | 140.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
