Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 87% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 71.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 87% on 3 Oct 2026. $2.13K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 65%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xSPBB | No | 181.5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 157.4 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| a5533 | No | 35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the highest NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) geomagnetic storm level recorded between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM UTC on October 2, 2026. Geomagnetic storm levels are defined by the estimated planetary K-index (Kp) on the NOAA Space Weather Scales: G1 corresponds to Kp 5, G2 to Kp 6, G3 to Kp 7, G4 to Kp 8 and G5 to Kp 9. The highest level is taken from the highest 3-hour estimated Kp value observed within that period; if no interval reaches Kp 5, this market will resolve to “Below G1”. This market resolves on the estimated planetary K-index published by SWPC in real time. Subsequent revision of the definitive Kp index by GFZ Potsdam will not affect resolution. In the case for which no data is posted by the NOAA SWPC planetary K-index by October 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Below G1". The resolution source for this market is the NOAA SWPC planetary K-index, available here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-geomagnetic-storm-level-on-october-2-2026
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| jfkjdfj3 | No | 20 |
| needleladder | No | 16.98 |
| lissartter | No | 10 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
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